Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.004431 0.004991 0.005623 0.006399 0.007334 0.008435 0.009847
2026-01-04 0.003688 0.004404 0.005286 0.006477 0.008080 0.010223 0.013415
2026-01-11 0.003208 0.003977 0.004979 0.006423 0.008530 0.011631 0.016852
2026-01-18 0.002896 0.003695 0.004783 0.006437 0.009019 0.013157 0.020978
2026-01-25 0.002612 0.003405 0.004522 0.006292 0.009207 0.014225 0.024727
2026-02-01 0.002352 0.003117 0.004220 0.006025 0.009129 0.014791 0.027727
2026-02-08 0.002135 0.002867 0.003945 0.005756 0.008985 0.015185 0.030533
2026-02-15 0.002029 0.002768 0.003884 0.005823 0.009444 0.016876 0.037425
2026-02-22 0.001898 0.002620 0.003731 0.005710 0.009539 0.017824 0.042953
2026-03-01 0.001773 0.002471 0.003563 0.005548 0.009506 0.018476 0.048073
2026-03-08 0.001670 0.002349 0.003426 0.005424 0.009528 0.019267 0.054363
2026-03-15 0.001627 0.002318 0.003437 0.005575 0.010159 0.021818 0.070187
2026-03-22 0.001590 0.002301 0.003481 0.005813 0.011089 0.025768 0.100030
2026-03-29 0.001528 0.002238 0.003439 0.005880 0.011653 0.028998 0.134944
2026-04-05 0.001456 0.002152 0.003348 0.005833 0.011925 0.031449 0.173312
2026-04-12 0.001399 0.002087 0.003289 0.005845 0.012356 0.034774 0.236168
2026-04-19 0.001328 0.001995 0.003173 0.005719 0.012381 0.036564 0.294638
2026-04-26 0.001251 0.001886 0.003016 0.005485 0.012058 0.036743 0.333837
2026-05-03 0.001179 0.001784 0.002865 0.005249 0.011686 0.036576 0.370280
2026-05-10 0.001147 0.001750 0.002845 0.005308 0.012211 0.041011 0.570071
2026-05-17 0.001100 0.001687 0.002760 0.005208 0.012227 0.042961 0.752959
2026-05-24 0.001051 0.001618 0.002661 0.005065 0.012079 0.043983 0.944402
2026-05-31 0.001009 0.001559 0.002580 0.004956 0.012022 0.045558 1.259108